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Advanced · Self-paced learning

Geopolitical Disruption and Business Preparedness

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A component is in stock for only eight more weeks. A second supplier needs twelve weeks to qualify and sources its input from the same region. Assess what action is needed before a potential shortage and whether the substitute actually reduces the dependency.

Work with this case or a section of your own supply chain. Develop two or three plausible disruption scenarios, record assumptions and missing data, and compare responses by time, cost and feasibility. Set thresholds for stock, substitute supply and other observable changes, and identify who is responsible for decisions when those thresholds are reached.

Your completed workbook supports ongoing monitoring and the next planning and operations discussion. Regional legal and sanctions questions require separate review.

What you will work on

  • Define two or three geopolitical scenarios for your area, identify affected dependencies and distinguish assumptions from data gaps.
  • Compare at least three alternative response paths by feasibility, time, cost, decision authority and remaining constraints.
  • Compare stock coverage with the qualification period for a replacement supplier

Who it is for

  • Strategy and planning leads
  • International operations or supply-chain leaders
  • Risk, resilience or business continuity professionals with a planning remit

Topics

  • Geopolitical scenarios and planning horizons for a defined area of responsibility
  • Exposure through supply chains, sites, markets and financial relationships
  • Separating observations, assumptions, early indicators and data gaps
  • Alternative response paths: buffers, diversification, contractual change, site and portfolio decisions
  • Decision triggers, thresholds and escalation paths
  • Planning limits: mandate, law, sanctions, confidentiality and available data

Your result

Your supply-chain scenario workbook records stock coverage, substitute supply, monitoring sources and triggers. Use it to track assumptions and changes for the next planning discussion.

Prerequisites

You need experience in strategy, planning, operations or resilience work and access to supply, market or site information for your area of responsibility. If you cannot use confidential data, work with a course case.

Format and approach

Planned as a self-study course of 6–8 hours with templates, an annotated example and self-checks. Work is based on a case from your organisation or a case study.

Planned learning time: 6–8 hours

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